Now 12 days into my renewed discipline I have only a bit of progress to show. I’ve succeeded in building exercise back up, probably adding 300 cals/day burned, but this isn’t enough. Unlike my original major weight loss I’m having a harder time trying to maintain calorie intake discipline. And my statistics are unclear as to whether I’m making much progress:
The chart above extends the previous one in my first post with this title with the 12 days in August (shown as red markers). Note that my first two days of renewed discipline actually hit recent highs and then weight began to decline. The regression line’s slope (1.43 lbs/wk) may actually overstate the loss, esp. given the usual effect that immediately upon starting weight discipline there is a early big drop. The real bad thing is the high variability, rather than nice steady decline. Now part of this is undoubtedly the poor measurement (I’m not doing multiple weigh-ins and averaging like before so I know each point is probably around ± 1.5lbs. BUT, the good news is the gain has been arrested and at least I’m showing a few points down in the 192-193 range. To the extent I can trust the regression line as a future prediction it looks like I might hit my August target, but even assuming I do that’s still a long way to go to where I need to be, so we’ll see.