Category Archives: whine

The nutrition nannies are never satisfied

The rightwing constantly complains about nanny state and ever now and then I agree with them, a little. Mostly denouncing the nanny state is a smokescreen for brutal social policy so the rich can get their taxcuts and thus totally disingenuous. … Continue reading

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Applied Nate Silver – Unexpected/Unexplained pattern

Lately I’ve been having an unpleasant feeling in the morning when I do my weigh-ins. The first number I see looks “good” (meaning what I want, i.e. lower than previous day) but then the numbers bounce up. By the time … Continue reading

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Posted in comment, musing, whine | Tagged , | 6 Comments

Tablets are the WonderBread of computers

Don’t get me wrong, I actually like touch devices (all but the iPad which I refuse simply because it is a fad symbol, not a product, but I love my iPod Touch and Kindle Fire, so agnostic between iOS and … Continue reading

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Posted in musing, opinion, whine | Tagged , | 1 Comment

Applied Nate Silver – now what?

Vacation was not kind to my weight loss plan, far worse than I expected. But once again this raises a big question about how to apply Nate Silver’s techniques to prediction, that is, what should I expect now. So first … Continue reading

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Applied Nate Silver – stuck in the ’90s

No, not the 1990s – the 190’s of my weight trajectory. It feels like I’m stuck in this particular decade and hardly changing. Through four previous “decades” (i.e. 23x->22x) it has taken me four weeks to pass through, but the … Continue reading

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Applied Nate Silver – a warning

I’m doing a good job of demonstrating how bad my predictions are. Many people like to claim they predicted (notice the past tense) something when in reality the only “prediction” to evaluate is those made in indelible form that can be … Continue reading

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Applied Nate Silver – Disaster! Not Believable – 5

Hey, Nate – how do I predict anything when my data looks like this? Is any of this real and is it just noise? These data are my average (of seven samples) weight for each day, starting with my “official” … Continue reading

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All blogs posts must be short

‘Nuff said!

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Posted in attempt at humor, whine | Tagged | 2 Comments

Dragon Naturally Speaking CRASHES Often! With Data Loss

I previously commented about the Dragon speech recognition software and was reasonably favorable. But lately I am much less happy due to all the crashes. Short answer – use Dragon for more than a few minutes with MSWord 2010 and … Continue reading

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Applied Nate Silver – 6: “alarmists” and “denialists”

My experiment I’m doing this week on explaining my weight trends provides a very simple dataset to look at how “cherry-picking” data and extrapolating trends can show whatever bias the “analyst” wants. Below is the raw data and three different … Continue reading

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